While the U.S. Treasury yield curve remains inverted, we believe that the spread between 2-year and 10-year yields peaked in June 2023. During the reversal of an inverted yield curve, short-term ...

When the US Treasury yield curve inverts (short rates rise above long rates) the shift is widely viewed as a reliable forecast that a recession is near. The curve has been inverted since July 2022, ...

This current yield curve inversion has turned out to be the longest and deepest inversion in 50 years, lasting 18 months and several times hitting negative 100 basis points. Micro yield contracts are ...

The relationship between the 10- and 2-year Treasury yield briefly normalized Wednesday, reversing a classic recession indicator. Following economic news that showed a sharp decline in job openings ...

The yield curve has gone from an obscure chart on bond desks to front-page material because it’s one of the few indicators that consistently front-runs the big turns in the economy. I still remember ...

Since the global pandemic stock market investors have been bombarded with market commentary of persistently high inflation, resulting high interest rates, and a so called yield curve inversion that's ...

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