Adam Hayes, Ph.D., CFA, is a financial writer with 15+ years Wall Street experience as a derivatives trader. Besides his extensive derivative trading expertise, Adam is an expert in economics and ...

Adaptation is recommended for 2026. By combining 2-year AA corporate bonds for yield and long-duration government bonds for ...

As explained in Prof. Robert Jarrow's book cited below, forward rates contain a risk premium above and beyond the market's expectations for the 3-month forward rate. We document the size of that risk ...

The gloom and doom folks must have been pretty annoyed that America was so successful in selling 30-year bonds a couple of weeks ago. After all, if the country’s finances are really in such a mess, ...

The UK gilt yield curve became fully inverted in both mediums and long maturities in April. A range of factors have driven the yield curve flattening in the UK. Yield curves often bear flatten during ...

Back in January 2019, I published an article titled “Investing When Yield Curves Are Not So Shapely,” which discussed the economic challenges that emanate from a flat yield curve. Then, the spread ...

LONDON, June 8 (Reuters) - If the bond yield horizon on government debt is a useful predictor of future economic growth then emerging markets are displaying some disturbing signs for investors already ...

NEW YORK (MarketWatch) - Individual invstors are't the only folks trying to figure out to how to boost returns amid piddling bond yields and a sluggish stock market. Banks are increasingly turning to ...

A closely followed bond-market signal of an impending recession has been flashing red continuously since 2022, the longest period on record. Yet history shows an “inverted” Treasury yield curve ...

The yield curve is a graphical representation that plots the interest rates of bonds with equal credit quality but varying maturity dates. A normal yield curve slopes upward, indicating higher ...

A version of this article was originally published on Oct. 8, 2014. The term "interest rate" continues to strike fear into the hearts of bond investors. These fears have only intensified as the timing ...