T HE RISKS from the Iran war, says Christine Lagarde, are being underestimated. Amid what the International Energy Agency ...

The stock-market-timing indicator with the best long-term predictive record has just risen to its highest — and most bearish ...

The S&P 500 has returned 54% since the current bull market started in October 2022. Midterm election years frequently coincide with steep downturns in the stock market. The S&P 500 recorded one of its ...

Prediction markets, like Kalshi and Polymarket, allow users the opportunity to bet on just about any real-world event, from the trivial to the monumental, including major geopolitical conflicts and ...

Ten years ago, betting your life savings against the success of Elon Musk would have seemed like financial suicide. A year after DOGE’s disastrous collapse, one man who did exactly that is cashing out ...

WASHINGTON—Alan Cole put his life savings, all $342,195.63, into a prediction-market wager. He insists he’s not really a betting man. Cole is a 37-year-old tax economist with Ivy League degrees, a ...

The president derided Democrats and said the United States was “winning.” In the Democratic response, Gov. Abigail Spanberger of Virginia accused the president of sowing fear. Tyler Pager and Luke ...

We preview WWE Money in the Bank 2021 predictions, evaluating likely winners, surprises, and title opportunities. US tells Americans to shelter in place as Mexican Army kills cartel leader Olympic ...

President Donald Trump's economic policies have not led to the dire scenarios of recession or steep inflation that many economists have warned about over the last year. According to new commentary ...

New analysis explains why Prosper’s macro forecasts often signal economic shifts weeks or months before prediction markets The two approaches can be complementary. Prosper’s early signals can ...

Nouriel Roubini, the economist who called the 2008 financial crisis and spent the next decade warning anyone who’d listen about stagflation and collapse, now sees U.S. GDP approaching 4% by end of the ...